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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
6.0
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.68+4.27vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+6.82vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley2.60+7.11vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University2.20+8.35vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy2.25+6.65vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.64+3.92vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+4.18vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine2.17+4.33vs Predicted
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9University of Washington2.79-0.23vs Predicted
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10University of Washington2.10+2.60vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay1.64+4.06vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California2.57-1.86vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz1.41+3.33vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University1.88-0.41vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64+0.21vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-7.15vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley1.01-0.25vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-0.36+2.95vs Predicted
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21University of Puget Sound1.26-4.60vs Predicted
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23Western Washington University0.99-5.30vs Predicted
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24University of Hawaii3.04-16.10vs Predicted
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25Brown University1.81-10.90vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego1.60-11.02vs Predicted
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27California State University Monterey Bay1.64-11.94vs Predicted
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28Stanford University3.23-20.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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8.82University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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10.11University of California at Berkeley2.600.0%1st Place
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12.35Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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11.65California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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11.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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12.33University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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8.77University of Washington2.790.1%1st Place
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12.6University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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15.06California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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10.14University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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16.33University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
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13.59Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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15.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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8.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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17.75University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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21.95University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
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16.4University of Puget Sound1.260.0%1st Place
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17.7Western Washington University0.990.0%1st Place
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7.9University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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14.1Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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14.98University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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15.06California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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7.03Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Pokras | 16.0% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Shevitz | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Karl Haelsig | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Erika Vranizan | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Erik Lund | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Amery | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 17.1% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 12.5% | 61.9% | 0.0% |
| Mike Knape | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Reeves | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.