Race 2A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Olin Guck 27.5% 25.1% 20.2% 12.2% 8.3% 3.9% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Thomas Mazzeo 27.8% 22.0% 18.9% 13.6% 9.2% 4.3% 2.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Richard Kalich 12.3% 15.5% 15.5% 17.4% 14.6% 11.2% 7.4% 3.9% 1.8% 0.4%
Sam Harris 12.2% 12.8% 15.2% 15.3% 14.8% 12.8% 8.0% 5.7% 2.6% 0.7%
Ryan Treat 4.2% 5.1% 6.9% 7.9% 10.3% 13.0% 15.0% 15.4% 13.1% 9.0%
Zach Earnshaw 4.2% 5.9% 6.8% 9.0% 11.5% 14.8% 14.5% 14.7% 12.2% 6.3%
Tyler Winowiecki 4.4% 4.8% 5.0% 8.3% 9.8% 12.1% 15.4% 16.2% 14.1% 10.0%
Kai Latham 3.4% 4.2% 5.7% 6.5% 9.2% 11.3% 14.7% 15.3% 15.9% 13.9%
Thomas Broadus 1.6% 2.2% 2.5% 4.5% 5.1% 6.8% 7.6% 14.2% 20.0% 35.4%
Oliver Browne 2.4% 2.2% 3.3% 5.3% 7.0% 10.0% 12.6% 12.9% 20.0% 24.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.