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📊 Prediction Accuracy
8.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.25+10.74vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+6.71vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+6.04vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.79+5.28vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley2.60+4.79vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.23+1.09vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.64+2.74vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii3.68-2.70vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz1.41+6.81vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine2.17+2.23vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University1.88+2.87vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii3.04-4.14vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay1.64+2.19vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-3.03vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64+0.22vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University2.20-4.00vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.81-3.12vs Predicted
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18University of Washington2.10-5.33vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-0.36+2.79vs Predicted
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20University of Puget Sound1.26-3.46vs Predicted
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24Western Washington University0.99-5.84vs Predicted
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25University of California at Berkeley1.01-7.16vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego1.60-10.94vs Predicted
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27University of Southern California2.57-16.79vs Predicted
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28California State University Monterey Bay1.64-12.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.74California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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8.71University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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9.28University of Washington2.790.1%1st Place
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9.79University of California at Berkeley2.600.1%1st Place
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7.09Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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5.3University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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15.81University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
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12.23University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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13.87Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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7.86University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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15.19California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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10.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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15.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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12.0Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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13.88Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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12.67University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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21.79University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
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16.54University of Puget Sound1.260.0%1st Place
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18.16Western Washington University0.990.0%1st Place
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17.84University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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15.06University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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10.21University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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15.19California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karl Haelsig | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Shevitz | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 15.7% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erika Vranizan | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Lund | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 12.2% | 59.3% | 0.0% |
| Mike Knape | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Reeves | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Amery | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.