Race 3A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Olin Guck 32.7% 28.8% 17.6% 11.6% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Harris 13.1% 15.2% 19.2% 18.0% 14.1% 9.8% 6.6% 3.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Tyler Winowiecki 5.5% 5.1% 8.2% 10.8% 13.4% 15.0% 15.0% 12.5% 10.2% 4.5%
Thomas Mazzeo 29.4% 27.1% 18.5% 14.3% 5.9% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryan Treat 5.2% 5.5% 8.8% 11.7% 14.4% 14.2% 14.9% 13.0% 8.8% 3.4%
Zach Earnshaw 5.4% 7.0% 9.4% 11.3% 14.8% 15.5% 15.3% 11.3% 6.7% 3.3%
Oliver Browne 2.1% 3.1% 5.1% 5.5% 7.3% 12.0% 13.6% 18.0% 19.4% 13.9%
Kai Latham 3.7% 4.4% 7.4% 9.2% 12.2% 12.4% 13.7% 15.2% 13.3% 8.5%
Thomas Broadus 1.7% 2.5% 3.6% 5.2% 7.2% 9.2% 10.4% 14.7% 21.6% 23.8%
Ada Ucar 1.3% 1.3% 2.1% 2.5% 5.0% 5.9% 8.6% 11.8% 19.1% 42.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.