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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.79+8.05vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley2.60+8.10vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.68+2.23vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.10+8.90vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay1.64+9.79vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+5.31vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.64+2.82vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.23-0.90vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University2.20+2.72vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-1.28vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-1.94vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine2.17+0.12vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii3.04-5.04vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-2.41vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University1.88-1.09vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego1.60-0.71vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California2.57-6.90vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz1.41-1.83vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay1.64-5.21vs Predicted
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21University of Puget Sound1.26-4.65vs Predicted
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23University of California at Berkeley1.01-5.40vs Predicted
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25Brown University1.81-10.80vs Predicted
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26Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64-11.07vs Predicted
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27University of California at Davis-0.36-5.10vs Predicted
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28Western Washington University0.99-9.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.05University of Washington2.790.1%1st Place
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10.1University of California at Berkeley2.600.0%1st Place
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5.23University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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12.9University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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14.79California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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11.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.82University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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7.1Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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11.72Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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8.72University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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9.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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12.12University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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7.96University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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11.59California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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13.91Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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15.29University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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10.1University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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16.17University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
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14.79California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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16.35University of Puget Sound1.260.0%1st Place
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17.6University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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14.2Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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14.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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21.9University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
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18.07Western Washington University0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Haelsig | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Shevitz | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 14.0% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erika Vranizan | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Mike Knape | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Amery | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Erik Lund | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 12.7% | 60.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Reeves | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 18.4% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.