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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.10+2.80vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.04+0.50vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.05-0.51vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University-1.75+3.69vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69+0.56vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-0.80-0.33vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-0.66vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.93-2.30vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43-2.06vs Predicted
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10Boston University-2.17-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8University of New Hampshire0.1012.9%1st Place
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2.5Tufts University1.0430.5%1st Place
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2.49University of Rhode Island1.0532.7%1st Place
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7.69Wesleyan University-1.751.7%1st Place
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5.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.694.7%1st Place
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5.67University of Connecticut-0.804.2%1st Place
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6.34University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.084.0%1st Place
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5.7Salve Regina University-0.935.8%1st Place
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6.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.432.4%1st Place
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8.3Boston University-2.171.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Harris | 12.9% | 14.6% | 19.6% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Mazzeo | 30.5% | 28.0% | 18.2% | 12.8% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 32.7% | 25.2% | 19.9% | 11.8% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Broadus | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 16.0% | 22.5% | 24.9% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Ryan Treat | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 3.4% |
| Kai Latham | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 11.6% | 8.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 4.7% |
| Oliver Browne | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 20.1% | 13.8% |
| Ada Ucar | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 20.1% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.