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📊 Prediction Accuracy
4.0%
Within 2 Positions
6.8
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.79+8.08vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+7.00vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+5.73vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay1.64+11.16vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine2.17+7.06vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.57+4.22vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.01+10.80vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64+7.03vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii3.68-3.87vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.81+3.99vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University1.88+2.90vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California2.64-2.20vs Predicted
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13University of Puget Sound1.26+4.04vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University2.20-2.13vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.23-7.88vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego1.60-0.83vs Predicted
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17California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-5.27vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz1.41-2.89vs Predicted
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20University of Hawaii3.04-12.31vs Predicted
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22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-11.09vs Predicted
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23University of California at Berkeley2.60-12.94vs Predicted
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24California State University Monterey Bay1.64-8.84vs Predicted
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25University of Washington2.10-12.49vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis-0.36-4.12vs Predicted
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28Western Washington University0.99-10.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.08University of Washington2.790.1%1st Place
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9.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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8.73University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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15.16California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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12.06University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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10.22University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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17.8University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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15.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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5.13University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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13.99Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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13.9Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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9.8University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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17.04University of Puget Sound1.260.0%1st Place
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11.87Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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7.12Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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15.17University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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11.73California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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16.11University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
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7.69University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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10.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.06University of California at Berkeley2.600.0%1st Place
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15.16California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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12.51University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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21.88University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
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18.0Western Washington University0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Haelsig | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Amery | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Erik Lund | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 14.6% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Erika Vranizan | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike Knape | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cody Shevitz | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 60.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Reeves | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 17.8% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.