Race 5A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Zach Earnshaw 5.1% 5.6% 7.0% 9.6% 11.8% 14.1% 15.2% 14.1% 10.7% 6.9%
Ryan Treat 3.8% 6.1% 6.7% 9.4% 10.7% 14.1% 13.8% 15.2% 12.7% 7.7%
Sam Harris 11.2% 13.1% 14.9% 16.4% 14.4% 12.0% 9.5% 5.6% 2.3% 0.4%
Olin Guck 27.3% 24.9% 19.9% 13.5% 9.2% 3.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Thomas Mazzeo 28.0% 23.4% 19.2% 14.0% 8.8% 4.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Richard Kalich 14.1% 13.2% 16.3% 14.7% 15.4% 11.6% 9.2% 4.0% 1.2% 0.4%
Kai Latham 2.8% 4.0% 4.2% 6.8% 8.8% 12.2% 13.7% 15.8% 18.1% 13.9%
Oliver Browne 2.5% 2.7% 3.6% 4.2% 5.5% 8.7% 12.4% 15.7% 21.0% 23.6%
Tyler Winowiecki 3.9% 5.1% 6.4% 8.2% 10.8% 13.1% 14.4% 16.2% 14.3% 7.7%
Thomas Broadus 1.4% 1.9% 1.7% 3.4% 4.7% 6.6% 8.9% 12.7% 19.4% 39.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.