Race 6A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Thomas Mazzeo 26.1% 24.8% 19.4% 14.6% 8.7% 3.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Olin Guck 28.7% 24.6% 18.9% 13.0% 7.5% 4.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Sam Harris 11.5% 11.6% 15.2% 16.1% 16.6% 12.8% 8.8% 5.2% 1.9% 0.4%
Richard Kalich 12.1% 14.5% 15.6% 16.2% 15.5% 11.3% 8.1% 4.5% 1.7% 0.6%
Tyler Winowiecki 4.1% 5.1% 5.8% 8.8% 8.2% 13.8% 14.2% 16.0% 14.3% 9.8%
Ryan Treat 4.5% 5.0% 5.9% 8.2% 10.9% 13.4% 14.8% 15.8% 13.1% 8.6%
Zach Earnshaw 5.7% 5.5% 8.5% 8.3% 11.6% 13.7% 14.8% 13.9% 11.3% 6.8%
Thomas Broadus 1.7% 2.1% 2.5% 3.8% 4.7% 7.5% 8.1% 12.8% 18.6% 38.5%
Oliver Browne 2.2% 2.5% 3.5% 4.3% 7.8% 9.2% 13.0% 14.4% 21.7% 21.3%
Kai Latham 3.5% 4.3% 4.9% 6.6% 8.6% 10.5% 14.0% 16.5% 17.1% 14.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.