← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.04+1.80vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island1.05+0.69vs Predicted
-
3University of Connecticut-0.80+3.24vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69+2.05vs Predicted
-
5University of New Hampshire0.10-0.74vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University-0.93+0.37vs Predicted
-
7Wesleyan University-1.75+1.00vs Predicted
-
8Boston University0.25-3.91vs Predicted
-
9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-2.06vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.8Tufts University1.0427.3%1st Place
-
2.69University of Rhode Island1.0529.0%1st Place
-
6.24University of Connecticut-0.803.8%1st Place
-
6.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.695.1%1st Place
-
4.26University of New Hampshire0.1012.0%1st Place
-
6.37Salve Regina University-0.933.5%1st Place
-
8.0Wesleyan University-1.752.2%1st Place
-
4.09Boston University0.2512.8%1st Place
-
6.94University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.082.3%1st Place
-
7.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.432.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Mazzeo | 27.3% | 24.0% | 18.7% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 29.0% | 23.8% | 20.5% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Treat | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 8.1% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 6.7% |
| Sam Harris | 12.0% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 9.8% |
| Thomas Broadus | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 19.4% | 37.8% |
| Richard Kalich | 12.8% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Kai Latham | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 19.0% | 13.2% |
| Oliver Browne | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 21.1% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.