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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.05+1.70vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.10+2.31vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69+3.11vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.04-1.22vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-0.80+1.27vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.93+0.43vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.25-2.98vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-1.75+0.07vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-2.18vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7University of Rhode Island1.0530.2%1st Place
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4.31University of New Hampshire0.1010.7%1st Place
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6.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.694.2%1st Place
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2.78Tufts University1.0427.1%1st Place
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6.27University of Connecticut-0.804.5%1st Place
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6.43Salve Regina University-0.933.8%1st Place
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4.02Boston University0.2512.5%1st Place
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8.07Wesleyan University-1.751.3%1st Place
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6.82University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.083.8%1st Place
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7.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.431.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olin Guck | 30.2% | 23.2% | 19.4% | 12.4% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sam Harris | 10.7% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 5.7% |
| Thomas Mazzeo | 27.1% | 25.2% | 18.6% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Treat | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 7.8% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 13.3% | 8.9% |
| Richard Kalich | 12.5% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Broadus | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 18.8% | 38.0% |
| Kai Latham | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 17.5% | 14.1% |
| Oliver Browne | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 19.7% | 24.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.