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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.5%
Within 2 Positions
6.3
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+4.65vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.95+5.04vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.18+13.34vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley2.12+6.96vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.69+8.10vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.02+5.45vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay1.69+6.23vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+0.63vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.07+2.03vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University2.15+0.77vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine1.71+2.07vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles1.50+2.74vs Predicted
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13University of Washington2.19-2.42vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley1.18+2.25vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California1.69-1.63vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University1.62-4.19vs Predicted
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20University of Puget Sound0.36+0.18vs Predicted
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21California Poly Maritime Academy1.66-7.46vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.07-0.76vs Predicted
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23Santa Clara University2.22-12.87vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis0.07-2.60vs Predicted
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25California State University Monterey Bay1.69-11.77vs Predicted
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26University of Oregon0.76-7.74vs Predicted
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27California State University Channel Islands0.08-5.74vs Predicted
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28University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-11.82vs Predicted
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29University of Southern California2.57-20.42vs Predicted
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30U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-19.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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7.04University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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16.34University of California at San Diego1.180.0%1st Place
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10.96University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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13.1University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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11.45Stanford University2.020.0%1st Place
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13.23California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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11.03University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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10.77Western Washington University2.150.1%1st Place
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13.07University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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14.74University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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10.58University of Washington2.190.0%1st Place
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16.25University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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13.37University of Southern California1.690.0%1st Place
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13.81Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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20.18University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
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13.54California Poly Maritime Academy1.660.0%1st Place
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21.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.070.0%1st Place
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10.13Santa Clara University2.220.1%1st Place
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21.4University of California at Davis0.070.0%1st Place
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13.23California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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18.26University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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21.26California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
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16.18University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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8.58University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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10.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sullivan | 14.1% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanson | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wooldridge | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Taylor | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Forcade | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Hayes | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kivlovitz | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Vincent | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| David Eva | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Macy Stout | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 24.5% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dan Berman | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 23.5% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Marangola | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 17.9% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.