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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.05+1.74vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.04+0.73vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69+3.00vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.10+0.28vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.93+1.35vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.25-1.89vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.80-0.60vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-1.12vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43-1.49vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-1.75-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74University of Rhode Island1.0528.4%1st Place
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2.73Tufts University1.0428.7%1st Place
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6.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.695.2%1st Place
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4.28University of New Hampshire0.1010.4%1st Place
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6.35Salve Regina University-0.934.2%1st Place
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4.11Boston University0.2512.3%1st Place
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6.4University of Connecticut-0.803.8%1st Place
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6.88University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.082.5%1st Place
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7.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.432.6%1st Place
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8.0Wesleyan University-1.751.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olin Guck | 28.4% | 23.8% | 18.9% | 14.2% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Mazzeo | 28.7% | 23.6% | 18.5% | 14.2% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 5.6% |
| Sam Harris | 10.4% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 8.8% |
| Richard Kalich | 12.3% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Treat | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 8.6% |
| Kai Latham | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 14.4% |
| Oliver Browne | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 20.3% | 24.4% |
| Thomas Broadus | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 13.5% | 18.4% | 37.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.