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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.9%
Within 2 Positions
5.8
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University2.15+9.37vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.19+8.46vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.95+3.85vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.66+9.41vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+0.63vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+3.86vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine1.71+6.40vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-0.03vs Predicted
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10Santa Clara University2.22+0.05vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.57-2.32vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.18+3.02vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay1.69-0.53vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles1.50-0.71vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley2.12-5.13vs Predicted
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18University of Southern California1.69-5.26vs Predicted
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19Stanford University2.02-7.82vs Predicted
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20University of Puget Sound0.36-0.24vs Predicted
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21Western Washington University1.62-7.36vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis0.07-1.69vs Predicted
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23University of Oregon0.76-4.78vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.07-2.94vs Predicted
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25University of Hawaii2.07-14.23vs Predicted
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26California State University Monterey Bay1.69-12.53vs Predicted
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27University of California at San Diego1.18-11.14vs Predicted
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28University of Washington1.69-14.91vs Predicted
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29University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-12.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.37Western Washington University2.150.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Washington2.190.0%1st Place
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6.85University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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13.41California Poly Maritime Academy1.660.0%1st Place
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5.63University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.1%1st Place
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13.4University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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10.05Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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8.68University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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16.02University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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13.47California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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14.29University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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10.87University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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12.74University of Southern California1.690.0%1st Place
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11.18Stanford University2.020.0%1st Place
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19.76University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
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13.64Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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20.31University of California at Davis0.070.0%1st Place
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18.22University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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21.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.070.0%1st Place
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10.77University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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13.47California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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15.86University of California at San Diego1.180.0%1st Place
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13.09University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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16.02University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Taylor | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Forcade | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanson | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 14.2% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Hayes | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kivlovitz | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Eva | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Vincent | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Dan Berman | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 19.0% | 24.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Macy Stout | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 31.6% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wooldridge | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.