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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.04+1.77vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.05+0.78vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69+3.05vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.25+0.05vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08+1.82vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.10-1.76vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.93-0.53vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43-0.43vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.80-2.77vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-1.75-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77Tufts University1.0426.5%1st Place
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2.78University of Rhode Island1.0527.9%1st Place
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6.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.695.3%1st Place
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4.05Boston University0.2513.5%1st Place
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6.82University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.083.0%1st Place
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4.24University of New Hampshire0.1012.1%1st Place
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6.47Salve Regina University-0.933.1%1st Place
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7.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.432.1%1st Place
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6.23University of Connecticut-0.804.4%1st Place
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8.02Wesleyan University-1.752.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Mazzeo | 26.5% | 25.2% | 20.0% | 13.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Olin Guck | 27.9% | 24.2% | 18.1% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 5.9% |
| Richard Kalich | 13.5% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Kai Latham | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 13.2% |
| Sam Harris | 12.1% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 9.7% |
| Oliver Browne | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 21.1% | 25.7% |
| Ryan Treat | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 7.1% |
| Thomas Broadus | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 18.2% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.