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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.6
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+4.28vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.95+4.66vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+6.50vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.19+6.30vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University2.15+5.15vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.18+9.40vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine1.71+5.55vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.69+4.81vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley2.12+1.15vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay1.69+2.66vs Predicted
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11University of Washington1.69+1.88vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+3.47vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University1.62+0.26vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.02-3.25vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-6.31vs Predicted
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16University of Puget Sound0.36+3.03vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California2.57-8.80vs Predicted
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18California State University Monterey Bay1.69-5.34vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles1.50-5.24vs Predicted
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20University of Oregon0.76-3.11vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis0.07-1.31vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.07-1.91vs Predicted
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26University of Hawaii2.07-15.33vs Predicted
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27University of California at Berkeley1.18-11.77vs Predicted
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28Santa Clara University2.22-18.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.2%1st Place
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6.66University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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9.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.1%1st Place
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10.3University of Washington2.190.0%1st Place
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10.15Western Washington University2.150.0%1st Place
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15.4University of California at San Diego1.180.0%1st Place
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12.55University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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12.81University of Southern California1.690.0%1st Place
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10.15University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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12.66California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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12.88University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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15.47University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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13.26Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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10.75Stanford University2.020.0%1st Place
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8.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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19.03University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
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8.2University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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12.66California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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13.76University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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16.89University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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19.69University of California at Davis0.070.0%1st Place
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20.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.070.0%1st Place
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10.67University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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15.23University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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9.94Santa Clara University2.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sullivan | 15.9% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanson | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Forcade | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Taylor | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wooldridge | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kivlovitz | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Vincent | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eva | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Dan Berman | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 29.8% | 0.0% |
| Macy Stout | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 19.0% | 27.9% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Megan Hayes | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.