Race 1B

great-herring-pond-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Harry Kaya Prager 16.5% 19.4% 17.8% 14.6% 12.4% 8.9% 5.9% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Max Sigel 36.8% 25.7% 18.9% 9.4% 5.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
John Cabell 16.4% 18.3% 17.0% 16.6% 13.8% 9.0% 5.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Sean Morrison 5.0% 6.5% 8.8% 9.8% 11.4% 12.8% 13.9% 14.3% 10.9% 6.7%
James Sullivan 6.7% 8.6% 9.4% 11.9% 13.6% 13.4% 14.3% 10.5% 7.5% 3.9%
Marshall Rodes 6.5% 8.5% 9.2% 12.8% 13.3% 14.1% 13.5% 11.6% 7.4% 3.2%
cole capizzo 3.8% 3.8% 6.0% 7.2% 9.2% 10.0% 14.2% 15.3% 15.8% 14.7%
Joseph Gedraitis 3.2% 2.8% 4.3% 6.0% 7.3% 10.2% 11.5% 14.3% 19.0% 21.2%
Sara Beth Bouchard 1.6% 2.1% 2.6% 4.5% 5.6% 6.8% 7.7% 12.6% 20.8% 35.7%
Christopher Bullock 3.5% 4.3% 5.8% 7.1% 8.2% 11.9% 13.2% 14.7% 16.9% 14.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.