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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.5
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+4.26vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.15+8.19vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+6.35vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.69+8.36vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine1.71+7.30vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.95+0.34vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.02+3.50vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+0.55vs Predicted
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9University of Washington2.19+0.88vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.50+3.30vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.57-2.62vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley2.12-2.67vs Predicted
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14University of Washington1.69-1.46vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University1.62-2.58vs Predicted
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16University of Puget Sound0.36+2.50vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-1.86vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis0.07+1.37vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.07+0.36vs Predicted
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22University of Hawaii2.07-11.75vs Predicted
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23University of California at Berkeley1.18-8.25vs Predicted
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24California State University Monterey Bay1.69-11.74vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego1.18-10.10vs Predicted
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26Santa Clara University2.22-16.22vs Predicted
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27California State University Monterey Bay1.69-14.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.26University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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10.19Western Washington University2.150.0%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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12.36University of Southern California1.690.0%1st Place
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12.3University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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6.34University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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10.5Stanford University2.020.0%1st Place
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8.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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9.88University of Washington2.190.1%1st Place
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13.3University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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8.38University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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10.33University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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12.54University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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12.42Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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18.5University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
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15.14University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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19.37University of California at Davis0.070.0%1st Place
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19.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.070.0%1st Place
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10.25University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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14.75University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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12.26California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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14.9University of California at San Diego1.180.0%1st Place
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9.78Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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12.26California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sullivan | 14.5% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Taylor | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kivlovitz | 3.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanson | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Forcade | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Vincent | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eva | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 17.9% | 21.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Dan Berman | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 18.5% | 31.5% | 0.0% |
| Macy Stout | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 20.5% | 29.7% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 6.0% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Hayes | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wooldridge | 2.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.