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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.20+1.29vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.38+1.54vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.00+2.45vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+1.32vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.43-1.38vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.79-0.02vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43+0.27vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-1.83+0.01vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-1.19-2.21vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29University of Rhode Island1.2036.4%1st Place
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3.54Tufts University0.3817.2%1st Place
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5.45University of New Hampshire-0.006.2%1st Place
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5.32University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.527.4%1st Place
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3.62Boston University0.4315.8%1st Place
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5.98Salve Regina University-0.794.8%1st Place
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7.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.432.7%1st Place
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8.01Wesleyan University-1.831.6%1st Place
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6.79University of Connecticut-1.193.9%1st Place
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6.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.203.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Sigel | 36.4% | 28.4% | 18.0% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 17.2% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| James Sullivan | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| Marshall Rodes | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| John Cabell | 15.8% | 17.2% | 18.3% | 18.6% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sean Morrison | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 6.5% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 22.0% |
| Sara Beth Bouchard | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 18.9% | 36.6% |
| Christopher Bullock | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 13.8% |
| cole capizzo | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 17.2% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.