Race 3B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
James Sullivan 7.0% 8.6% 10.2% 11.9% 13.9% 13.1% 13.1% 11.8% 7.5% 2.9%
Harry Kaya Prager 15.8% 18.1% 19.1% 15.6% 12.2% 9.5% 5.9% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1%
John Cabell 15.8% 16.7% 18.0% 18.8% 12.7% 8.3% 5.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Max Sigel 38.2% 27.6% 16.6% 8.9% 5.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sean Morrison 4.9% 5.7% 7.3% 10.2% 13.0% 14.6% 13.5% 13.0% 11.2% 6.7%
Marshall Rodes 6.8% 8.3% 10.1% 10.3% 13.6% 13.2% 13.0% 12.9% 8.0% 3.9%
Sara Beth Bouchard 1.7% 2.9% 3.6% 3.9% 4.0% 7.1% 9.6% 12.2% 17.9% 37.0%
Joseph Gedraitis 2.9% 3.0% 4.2% 5.8% 7.0% 9.9% 13.0% 14.3% 18.9% 21.0%
Christopher Bullock 3.5% 4.3% 5.5% 7.9% 9.0% 10.7% 13.1% 15.0% 17.3% 13.7%
cole capizzo 3.6% 4.8% 5.1% 6.8% 8.9% 11.4% 12.4% 15.3% 17.1% 14.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.