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📊 Prediction Accuracy
8.3%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Santa Clara University2.22+8.50vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+3.21vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.95+3.33vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+10.95vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.57+2.85vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+2.86vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay1.69+4.92vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley2.12+2.14vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.18+4.65vs Predicted
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11University of Washington1.76+0.66vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-3.53vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego1.18+1.51vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University2.15-4.07vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii2.07-5.02vs Predicted
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16University of Washington1.69-3.62vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California1.69-4.81vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine1.71-5.86vs Predicted
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19Stanford University2.02-8.31vs Predicted
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21California State University Monterey Bay1.69-9.08vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles1.50-9.19vs Predicted
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23Western Washington University1.02-7.63vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis0.07-4.90vs Predicted
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26University of Puget Sound0.36-7.86vs Predicted
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27Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.07-7.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.5Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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5.21University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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6.33University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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14.95University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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7.85University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.1%1st Place
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11.92California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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10.14University of California at Berkeley2.120.1%1st Place
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14.65University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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11.66University of Washington1.760.0%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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14.51University of California at San Diego1.180.0%1st Place
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9.93Western Washington University2.150.1%1st Place
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9.98University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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12.38University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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12.19University of Southern California1.690.0%1st Place
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12.14University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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10.69Stanford University2.020.0%1st Place
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11.92California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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12.81University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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15.37Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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19.1University of California at Davis0.070.0%1st Place
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18.14University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
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19.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Wood | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 14.1% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanson | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Hayes | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Fuller | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wooldridge | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Taylor | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kivlovitz | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 4.9% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Debbi Kenote | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Dan Berman | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 19.1% | 27.9% | 0.0% |
| David Eva | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 18.4% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| Macy Stout | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 29.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.