Race 4B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Max Sigel 38.9% 26.0% 17.8% 9.1% 5.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1%
Harry Kaya Prager 15.9% 17.8% 17.3% 18.4% 12.0% 9.2% 5.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
James Sullivan 6.5% 8.2% 8.9% 11.6% 13.7% 14.0% 12.8% 11.6% 9.0% 3.8%
John Cabell 15.6% 18.4% 19.3% 16.7% 12.0% 8.8% 5.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Marshall Rodes 6.7% 8.0% 10.4% 10.7% 13.6% 13.9% 14.1% 11.8% 7.5% 3.3%
Sean Morrison 5.0% 7.2% 8.0% 9.7% 11.2% 14.8% 14.6% 12.1% 10.7% 6.7%
Christopher Bullock 4.1% 3.9% 5.3% 6.6% 9.8% 10.2% 13.4% 15.8% 15.8% 15.2%
cole capizzo 3.9% 4.1% 5.9% 8.2% 9.2% 11.2% 12.2% 14.4% 16.8% 14.1%
Sara Beth Bouchard 1.6% 2.5% 2.9% 3.5% 5.5% 6.9% 9.8% 13.8% 19.8% 33.9%
Joseph Gedraitis 2.1% 4.0% 4.0% 5.8% 7.9% 9.0% 11.7% 14.8% 18.4% 22.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.