Race 5B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Adam Strobridge 33.7% 24.8% 17.2% 11.5% 7.1% 3.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Harry Kaya Prager 17.2% 19.6% 18.4% 16.2% 12.0% 8.2% 5.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1%
John Cabell 17.2% 17.8% 17.8% 16.5% 12.3% 8.5% 5.2% 3.1% 1.5% 0.1%
Sean Morrison 5.9% 5.8% 8.0% 10.2% 11.4% 14.0% 13.9% 14.2% 10.8% 5.9%
James Sullivan 7.2% 7.8% 10.3% 11.8% 13.1% 14.6% 12.3% 11.6% 7.3% 3.8%
Marshall Rodes 7.3% 8.8% 10.8% 11.6% 12.5% 14.2% 12.8% 11.6% 7.0% 3.4%
Christopher Bullock 3.3% 4.5% 5.8% 6.9% 9.1% 11.0% 14.1% 14.8% 16.5% 14.0%
Sara Beth Bouchard 1.8% 2.6% 2.4% 3.9% 5.1% 6.1% 10.2% 12.1% 19.7% 35.9%
Joseph Gedraitis 3.2% 3.5% 3.8% 4.8% 7.8% 9.4% 10.5% 14.9% 20.1% 22.0%
cole capizzo 2.9% 4.8% 5.6% 6.7% 9.6% 10.7% 13.8% 14.8% 16.4% 14.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.