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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.05+1.57vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.43+1.56vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.38+0.54vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.79+1.98vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.00+0.37vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-1.19+0.73vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43+0.26vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-2.65vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.83-1.10vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57University of Rhode Island1.0531.9%1st Place
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3.56Boston University0.4317.5%1st Place
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3.54Tufts University0.3818.3%1st Place
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5.98Salve Regina University-0.794.9%1st Place
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5.37University of New Hampshire-0.007.2%1st Place
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6.73University of Connecticut-1.193.5%1st Place
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7.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.433.0%1st Place
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5.35University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.527.8%1st Place
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7.9Wesleyan University-1.832.1%1st Place
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6.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.203.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Adam Strobridge | 31.9% | 25.1% | 18.4% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
John Cabell | 17.5% | 17.3% | 18.2% | 16.8% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Harry Kaya Prager | 18.3% | 19.4% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Sean Morrison | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 11.0% | 6.2% |
James Sullivan | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 3.8% |
Christopher Bullock | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 13.2% |
Joseph Gedraitis | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 20.0% | 21.4% |
Marshall Rodes | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
Sara Beth Bouchard | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 18.3% | 37.0% |
cole capizzo | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.