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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+4.31vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay1.69+10.46vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley2.12+7.30vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.95+2.28vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.57+3.11vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+3.10vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.69+5.11vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.07+2.59vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.71+3.25vs Predicted
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10University of Washington2.19-0.18vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego1.18+4.21vs Predicted
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12University of Washington1.69+0.42vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+2.35vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles1.50-1.02vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-6.43vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University1.62-3.20vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.02-6.13vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University2.22-8.10vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley1.18-4.47vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay1.69-7.54vs Predicted
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23Western Washington University2.15-12.95vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.07-4.73vs Predicted
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26University of Puget Sound0.36-7.67vs Predicted
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27University of California at Davis0.07-7.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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12.46California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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10.3University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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6.28University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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8.11University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.1%1st Place
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12.11University of Southern California1.690.0%1st Place
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10.59University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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12.25University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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9.82University of Washington2.190.0%1st Place
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15.21University of California at San Diego1.180.0%1st Place
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12.42University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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15.35University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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12.98University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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12.8Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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10.87Stanford University2.020.0%1st Place
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9.9Santa Clara University2.220.1%1st Place
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14.53University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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12.46California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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10.05Western Washington University2.150.1%1st Place
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19.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.070.0%1st Place
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18.33University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
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19.4University of California at Davis0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sullivan | 13.4% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanson | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kivlovitz | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Forcade | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wooldridge | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Vincent | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Hayes | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Taylor | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Macy Stout | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 20.6% | 28.7% | 0.0% |
| David Eva | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 18.2% | 23.0% | 0.0% |
| Dan Berman | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 21.1% | 28.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.