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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+4.24vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.95+4.50vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.02+7.83vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay1.69+8.33vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley2.12+5.22vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+2.28vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+2.03vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.71+4.41vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay1.69+3.33vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.69+2.38vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+4.09vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University2.22-2.00vs Predicted
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13University of Washington1.69-0.67vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles1.50-0.53vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California2.57-7.18vs Predicted
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16University of Washington2.19-5.89vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego1.18-2.11vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley1.18-2.98vs Predicted
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19Western Washington University2.15-8.66vs Predicted
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20Western Washington University1.62-7.60vs Predicted
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22University of Hawaii2.07-11.61vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.07-3.74vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis0.07-4.75vs Predicted
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25University of Puget Sound0.36-6.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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10.83Stanford University2.020.0%1st Place
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12.33California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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10.22University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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8.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.1%1st Place
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12.41University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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12.33California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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12.38University of Southern California1.690.0%1st Place
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15.09University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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10.0Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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12.33University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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13.47University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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7.82University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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10.11University of Washington2.190.0%1st Place
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14.89University of California at San Diego1.180.0%1st Place
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15.02University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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10.34Western Washington University2.150.0%1st Place
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12.4Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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10.39University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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19.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.070.0%1st Place
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19.25University of California at Davis0.070.0%1st Place
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18.41University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sullivan | 14.0% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanson | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kivlovitz | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Forcade | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wooldridge | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Hayes | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Taylor | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Vincent | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Macy Stout | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 20.2% | 28.6% | 0.0% |
| Dan Berman | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 11.3% | 16.5% | 34.6% | 0.0% |
| David Eva | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 18.5% | 18.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.