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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.05+1.50vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.00+3.43vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.38+0.58vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.43-0.40vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+0.31vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.79-0.15vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43+0.31vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-1.19-1.25vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.83-1.10vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5University of Rhode Island1.0534.4%1st Place
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5.43University of New Hampshire-0.006.8%1st Place
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3.58Tufts University0.3816.9%1st Place
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3.6Boston University0.4317.7%1st Place
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5.31University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.527.5%1st Place
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5.85Salve Regina University-0.795.1%1st Place
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7.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.432.2%1st Place
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6.75University of Connecticut-1.194.1%1st Place
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7.9Wesleyan University-1.832.0%1st Place
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6.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.203.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 34.4% | 25.4% | 17.2% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| James Sullivan | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 16.9% | 17.8% | 19.1% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| John Cabell | 17.7% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Marshall Rodes | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| Sean Morrison | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 5.9% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 19.9% | 21.7% |
| Christopher Bullock | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 13.9% |
| Sara Beth Bouchard | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 17.0% | 37.5% |
| cole capizzo | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 17.6% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.