Race 1 - tyrell | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%

Within 2 Positions

1.6

Avg Position Diff

5

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Solomon Krevans & Eliza White

Tufts University

2.22

+1.21

vs Predicted
2

Zach Shapiro & Lukas Scott

Northeastern University

1.25

+1.31

vs Predicted
3

Jacob Hardy & Hannah Spiro

Brandeis University

0.59

+1.02

vs Predicted
4

Sean McLaughlin & Camille Aiello

Massachusetts Maritime Academy

1.97

-1.58

vs Predicted
6

Timothy Lorenzen & Rachael Burns

Williams College

1.47

-2.96

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

2.21

Solomon Krevans & Eliza White

Tufts University

2.22

0.4%

1st Place
3.31

Zach Shapiro & Lukas Scott

Northeastern University

1.25

0.1%

1st Place
4.02

Jacob Hardy & Hannah Spiro

Brandeis University

0.59

0.1%

1st Place
2.42

Sean McLaughlin & Camille Aiello

Massachusetts Maritime Academy

1.97

0.3%

1st Place
3.04

Timothy Lorenzen & Rachael Burns

Williams College

1.47

0.2%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4	5
Solomon Krevans	35.4%	28.7%	19.8%	11.4%	4.7%
Zach Shapiro	11.3%	17.0%	23.0%	27.2%	21.5%
Jacob Hardy	7.0%	8.2%	12.6%	20.3%	51.9%
Sean McLaughlin	28.6%	29.2%	20.9%	14.2%	7.1%
Timothy Lorenzen	17.7%	16.9%	23.7%	26.9%	14.8%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.