← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University0.43+2.62vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University0.38+1.54vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island1.05-0.45vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire-0.00+1.30vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University-0.79+0.89vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43+1.32vs Predicted
-
7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-1.67vs Predicted
-
8University of Connecticut-1.19-1.21vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20-2.23vs Predicted
-
10Wesleyan University-1.83-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.62Boston University0.4318.2%1st Place
-
3.54Tufts University0.3817.2%1st Place
-
2.55University of Rhode Island1.0534.0%1st Place
-
5.3University of New Hampshire-0.007.6%1st Place
-
5.89Salve Regina University-0.795.0%1st Place
-
7.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.432.5%1st Place
-
5.33University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.527.0%1st Place
-
6.79University of Connecticut-1.193.7%1st Place
-
6.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.203.4%1st Place
-
7.88Wesleyan University-1.831.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Cabell | 18.2% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 16.5% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Harry Kaya Prager | 17.2% | 19.4% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Adam Strobridge | 34.0% | 23.8% | 16.6% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
James Sullivan | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
Sean Morrison | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 5.2% |
Joseph Gedraitis | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 18.1% | 23.2% |
Marshall Rodes | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
Christopher Bullock | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 18.4% | 13.1% |
cole capizzo | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 15.6% |
Sara Beth Bouchard | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 18.2% | 35.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.