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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97+1.48vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+0.19vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.25+0.28vs Predicted
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4Williams College1.47-0.97vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University0.59-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.3%1st Place
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2.19Tufts University2.220.4%1st Place
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3.28Northeastern University1.250.1%1st Place
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3.03Williams College1.470.2%1st Place
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4.02Brandeis University0.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean McLaughlin | 29.1% | 26.1% | 20.9% | 15.0% | 8.9% |
| Solomon Krevans | 36.4% | 26.4% | 22.5% | 11.2% | 3.5% |
| Zach Shapiro | 12.9% | 16.1% | 22.1% | 28.3% | 20.6% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 15.1% | 22.2% | 22.9% | 23.9% | 15.9% |
| Jacob Hardy | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 21.6% | 51.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.