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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.20+1.25vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.43+1.69vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.38+0.59vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.00+1.35vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+0.44vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43+1.33vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.19-0.24vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20-1.25vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.83-1.05vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-0.79-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25University of Rhode Island1.2038.6%1st Place
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3.69Boston University0.4315.9%1st Place
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3.59Tufts University0.3816.0%1st Place
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5.35University of New Hampshire-0.006.8%1st Place
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5.44University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.525.8%1st Place
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7.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.432.9%1st Place
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6.76University of Connecticut-1.193.6%1st Place
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6.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.203.1%1st Place
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7.95Wesleyan University-1.831.7%1st Place
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5.88Salve Regina University-0.795.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Max Sigel | 38.6% | 27.7% | 16.6% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
John Cabell | 15.9% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Harry Kaya Prager | 16.0% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 17.6% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
James Sullivan | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
Marshall Rodes | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
Joseph Gedraitis | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 24.1% |
Christopher Bullock | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 13.6% |
cole capizzo | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 13.2% |
Sara Beth Bouchard | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 19.2% | 34.6% |
Sean Morrison | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.