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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.20+1.25vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.43+1.62vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.00+2.36vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+1.43vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-1.19+1.73vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University-1.83+1.92vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20-0.28vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43-0.74vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.79-2.92vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.38-6.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25University of Rhode Island1.2039.6%1st Place
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3.62Boston University0.4316.7%1st Place
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5.36University of New Hampshire-0.007.5%1st Place
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5.43University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.526.5%1st Place
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6.73University of Connecticut-1.193.2%1st Place
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7.92Wesleyan University-1.831.8%1st Place
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6.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.202.6%1st Place
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7.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.432.4%1st Place
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6.08Salve Regina University-0.794.7%1st Place
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3.62Tufts University0.3815.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Sigel | 39.6% | 24.9% | 18.5% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Cabell | 16.7% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| James Sullivan | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 3.6% |
| Marshall Rodes | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
| Christopher Bullock | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 13.2% |
| Sara Beth Bouchard | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 18.6% | 36.1% |
| cole capizzo | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 13.2% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 18.8% | 22.1% |
| Sean Morrison | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 8.1% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 15.1% | 18.6% | 19.2% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.