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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brandeis University0.59+2.98vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.25+1.33vs Predicted
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3Williams College1.47+0.03vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.22-1.81vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98Brandeis University0.590.1%1st Place
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3.33Northeastern University1.250.1%1st Place
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3.03Williams College1.470.2%1st Place
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2.19Tufts University2.220.4%1st Place
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2.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Hardy | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 19.3% | 51.2% |
| Zach Shapiro | 11.9% | 15.3% | 21.6% | 30.1% | 21.1% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 16.0% | 22.3% | 21.3% | 23.6% | 16.8% |
| Solomon Krevans | 36.9% | 27.3% | 19.8% | 12.4% | 3.6% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 27.6% | 26.1% | 24.4% | 14.6% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.