Race 4 - tyrell | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%

Within 2 Positions

1.3

Avg Position Diff

5

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Solomon Krevans & Eliza White

Tufts University

2.22

+1.19

vs Predicted
2

Timothy Lorenzen & Rachael Burns

Williams College

1.47

+1.04

vs Predicted
3

Jacob Hardy & Hannah Spiro

Brandeis University

0.59

+1.01

vs Predicted
4

Zach Shapiro & Lukas Scott

Northeastern University

1.25

-0.71

vs Predicted
5

Sean McLaughlin & Camille Aiello

Massachusetts Maritime Academy

1.97

-2.53

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

2.19

Solomon Krevans & Eliza White

Tufts University

2.22

0.4%

1st Place
3.04

Timothy Lorenzen & Rachael Burns

Williams College

1.47

0.2%

1st Place
4.01

Jacob Hardy & Hannah Spiro

Brandeis University

0.59

0.1%

1st Place
3.29

Zach Shapiro & Lukas Scott

Northeastern University

1.25

0.1%

1st Place
2.47

Sean McLaughlin & Camille Aiello

Massachusetts Maritime Academy

1.97

0.3%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4	5
Solomon Krevans	36.8%	28.1%	19.1%	11.8%	4.2%
Timothy Lorenzen	15.6%	19.9%	24.3%	24.8%	15.4%
Jacob Hardy	6.7%	9.2%	13.0%	18.8%	52.3%
Zach Shapiro	13.8%	15.1%	21.7%	27.3%	22.1%
Sean McLaughlin	27.1%	27.7%	21.9%	17.3%	6.0%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.