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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brandeis University0.59+2.96vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+0.20vs Predicted
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3Williams College1.47+0.05vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.25-0.70vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96Brandeis University0.590.1%1st Place
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2.2Tufts University2.220.3%1st Place
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3.05Williams College1.470.2%1st Place
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3.3Northeastern University1.250.1%1st Place
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2.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Hardy | 7.3% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 21.0% | 49.7% |
| Solomon Krevans | 34.7% | 29.3% | 21.0% | 11.8% | 3.2% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 16.8% | 19.5% | 22.6% | 23.9% | 17.2% |
| Zach Shapiro | 13.1% | 17.4% | 18.6% | 28.3% | 22.6% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 28.1% | 24.4% | 25.2% | 15.0% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.