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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+7.06vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.90+4.81vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.42+6.68vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.27vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+5.80vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.85+1.23vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.88+4.31vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.38+0.61vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.12+0.39vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.54+2.74vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.78+0.01vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.49-4.23vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.92-5.81vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.73-4.82vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.39-3.12vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-6.04vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-9.03vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.12-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.06Cornell University2.386.7%1st Place
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6.81Dartmouth College2.909.5%1st Place
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9.68University of Pennsylvania2.425.5%1st Place
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8.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.6%1st Place
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10.8University of California at Santa Barbara1.783.7%1st Place
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7.23Brown University2.858.2%1st Place
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11.31SUNY Maritime College1.883.5%1st Place
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8.61Bowdoin College2.386.7%1st Place
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9.39Tufts University2.125.0%1st Place
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12.74University of South Florida1.542.4%1st Place
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11.01North Carolina State University1.783.8%1st Place
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7.77College of Charleston2.497.2%1st Place
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7.19Yale University2.928.3%1st Place
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9.18Webb Institute1.735.8%1st Place
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11.88Boston University1.392.5%1st Place
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9.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.164.9%1st Place
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7.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.7%1st Place
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13.16University of Michigan1.122.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Spencer Barnes | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 18.8% |
| Adam Larson | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 13.5% |
| Will Murray | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Joe Serpa | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.