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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.22+1.19vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97+0.46vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.25+0.31vs Predicted
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4Brandeis University0.590.00vs Predicted
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6Williams College1.47-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Tufts University2.220.4%1st Place
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2.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.3%1st Place
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3.31Northeastern University1.250.1%1st Place
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4.0Brandeis University0.590.1%1st Place
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3.03Williams College1.470.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Krevans | 35.9% | 29.5% | 18.7% | 11.3% | 4.6% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 28.1% | 25.6% | 24.4% | 15.8% | 6.1% |
| Zach Shapiro | 13.7% | 15.4% | 20.0% | 28.2% | 22.7% |
| Jacob Hardy | 5.4% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 20.4% | 50.1% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 16.9% | 20.1% | 22.2% | 24.3% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.