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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.22+1.20vs Predicted
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2Brandeis University0.59+2.03vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.25+0.28vs Predicted
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4Williams College1.47-0.98vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Tufts University2.220.4%1st Place
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4.03Brandeis University0.590.1%1st Place
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3.28Northeastern University1.250.1%1st Place
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3.02Williams College1.470.2%1st Place
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2.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Krevans | 37.4% | 27.9% | 17.9% | 11.1% | 5.7% |
| Jacob Hardy | 5.9% | 7.7% | 14.5% | 20.9% | 51.0% |
| Zach Shapiro | 13.0% | 16.6% | 21.4% | 27.1% | 21.9% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 15.9% | 21.4% | 23.4% | 23.5% | 15.8% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 27.8% | 26.4% | 22.8% | 17.4% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.