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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.31+0.74vs Predicted
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2Brandeis University0.95+1.12vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-0.95vs Predicted
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5Williams College0.22-0.97vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University0.77-2.52vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.37-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74Tufts University2.310.5%1st Place
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3.12Brandeis University0.950.1%1st Place
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3.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
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4.03Williams College0.220.1%1st Place
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3.48Wesleyan University0.770.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Connecticut-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Barclift | 53.0% | 28.5% | 12.3% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Davida Judelson | 14.2% | 22.1% | 23.1% | 21.7% | 16.2% | 2.7% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 14.5% | 22.7% | 23.5% | 23.3% | 14.2% | 1.8% |
| Joshua Revkin | 6.8% | 9.4% | 15.7% | 20.6% | 36.8% | 10.7% |
| Justine Mitchell | 10.6% | 15.7% | 22.3% | 24.3% | 20.5% | 6.6% |
| Katelyn Guerrera | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 11.3% | 77.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.