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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.31+0.76vs Predicted
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2Wesleyan University0.77+1.36vs Predicted
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4Williams College0.22+0.02vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University0.95-1.82vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-1.37-0.44vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76Tufts University2.310.5%1st Place
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3.36Wesleyan University0.770.1%1st Place
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4.02Williams College0.220.1%1st Place
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3.18Brandeis University0.950.1%1st Place
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5.56University of Connecticut-1.370.0%1st Place
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3.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Barclift | 52.6% | 26.6% | 14.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Justine Mitchell | 11.0% | 19.8% | 21.5% | 22.2% | 20.6% | 4.9% |
| Joshua Revkin | 7.4% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 20.5% | 36.7% | 11.2% |
| Davida Judelson | 13.3% | 20.2% | 22.7% | 25.3% | 16.3% | 2.2% |
| Katelyn Guerrera | 1.0% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 9.8% | 78.6% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 14.7% | 20.4% | 23.7% | 23.2% | 15.0% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.