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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.31+0.70vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99+1.04vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University0.77+0.29vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University0.95-1.91vs Predicted
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6Williams College0.22-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7Tufts University2.310.6%1st Place
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3.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
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3.29Wesleyan University0.770.1%1st Place
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3.09Brandeis University0.950.1%1st Place
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3.89Williams College0.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Barclift | 55.1% | 26.7% | 12.6% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 13.1% | 23.4% | 25.4% | 23.1% | 15.0% |
| Justine Mitchell | 11.9% | 16.8% | 23.3% | 26.9% | 21.1% |
| Davida Judelson | 13.2% | 21.9% | 24.1% | 24.0% | 16.8% |
| Joshua Revkin | 6.7% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 21.7% | 45.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.