← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University2.03+1.15vs Predicted
-
2University of Tennessee0.67+2.16vs Predicted
-
3University of Texas1.01+1.10vs Predicted
-
4Rice University0.94-0.13vs Predicted
-
5Texas A&M University0.08+0.25vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-1.22vs Predicted
-
7Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.30-2.11vs Predicted
-
8Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.99-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.15Tulane University2.0340.8%1st Place
-
4.16University of Tennessee0.6711.8%1st Place
-
4.1University of Texas1.0111.4%1st Place
-
3.87Rice University0.9413.2%1st Place
-
5.25Texas A&M University0.085.5%1st Place
-
4.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.357.4%1st Place
-
4.89Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.307.8%1st Place
-
6.81Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.992.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliza Corral | 40.8% | 26.9% | 17.2% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Riley | 11.8% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 4.5% |
| Matias Martin | 11.4% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 3.8% |
| Joe Slipper | 13.2% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 2.7% |
| Cole Gourley | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 22.1% | 14.4% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 7.8% |
| Nicholas Carew | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 18.9% | 9.6% |
| Jack Meyer | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 14.8% | 57.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.