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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.09+4.78vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.22+7.54vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.51+5.57vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.45+4.13vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.55-0.81vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.97+0.62vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.48+4.07vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+2.08vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.54+1.50vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.11+3.37vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.14-2.67vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.10-3.83vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-6.85vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.15-1.57vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.13-0.97vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.99-9.38vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.99-7.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78Boston College2.099.8%1st Place
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9.54Northeastern University1.224.7%1st Place
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8.57Bowdoin College1.514.4%1st Place
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8.13Dartmouth College1.454.9%1st Place
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4.19Yale University2.5519.9%1st Place
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6.62Roger Williams University1.978.5%1st Place
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11.07University of Vermont0.482.5%1st Place
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10.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.4%1st Place
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10.5Tufts University0.543.1%1st Place
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13.37McGill University-0.111.5%1st Place
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8.33Boston University1.145.4%1st Place
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8.17Harvard University2.105.3%1st Place
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6.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7711.1%1st Place
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12.43Maine Maritime Academy0.151.8%1st Place
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14.03Connecticut College-0.131.1%1st Place
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6.62Brown University1.999.0%1st Place
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9.43University of Rhode Island0.993.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Drulard | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Emma Cowles | 19.9% | 17.1% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.6% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% |
| ZIYUE ZHOU | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 19.1% | 25.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 13.8% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 17.5% | 34.6% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.