Race 2 - nwicsa-coed-quals | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%

Within 2 Positions

1.1

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Bryan Rust & Mallory Abston

Western Washington University

2.02

+0.93

vs Predicted
2

Ezra Boyer & Katie Schmidt

University of Washington

0.42

+1.36

vs Predicted
3

Craig Emmes & Sophie Thomas

University of Oregon

1.84

-0.87

vs Predicted
4

Colin Thompson & Annin Ramsing

University of Puget Sound

1.30

-1.42

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

1.93

Bryan Rust & Mallory Abston

Western Washington University

2.02

0.4%

1st Place
3.36

Ezra Boyer & Katie Schmidt

University of Washington

0.42

0.1%

1st Place
2.13

Craig Emmes & Sophie Thomas

University of Oregon

1.84

0.3%

1st Place
2.58

Colin Thompson & Annin Ramsing

University of Puget Sound

1.30

0.2%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Bryan Rust	41.6%	31.4%	19.6%	7.4%
Ezra Boyer	7.5%	10.7%	20.0%	61.8%
Craig Emmes	32.1%	33.0%	24.6%	10.3%
Colin Thompson	18.8%	24.9%	35.8%	20.5%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.