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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.31+0.70vs Predicted
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2Williams College0.22+1.91vs Predicted
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4Brandeis University0.95-0.94vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-1.96vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University0.77-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7Tufts University2.310.5%1st Place
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3.91Williams College0.220.1%1st Place
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3.06Brandeis University0.950.1%1st Place
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3.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
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3.29Wesleyan University0.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Barclift | 54.7% | 27.5% | 12.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Joshua Revkin | 6.3% | 8.5% | 16.7% | 24.5% | 44.0% |
| Davida Judelson | 13.7% | 21.9% | 25.2% | 23.4% | 15.8% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 13.7% | 23.7% | 24.4% | 21.4% | 16.8% |
| Justine Mitchell | 11.6% | 18.4% | 21.2% | 27.1% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.