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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.31+0.69vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99+0.03vs Predicted
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4Williams College0.22-0.09vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University0.77-1.72vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University0.95-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.69Tufts University2.310.6%1st Place
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3.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
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3.91Williams College0.220.1%1st Place
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3.28Wesleyan University0.770.1%1st Place
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3.09Brandeis University0.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Barclift | 56.4% | 24.9% | 13.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 13.0% | 23.3% | 25.6% | 23.9% | 14.2% |
| Joshua Revkin | 6.1% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 19.5% | 47.4% |
| Justine Mitchell | 10.7% | 19.0% | 22.4% | 27.0% | 20.9% |
| Davida Judelson | 13.8% | 21.2% | 23.3% | 25.9% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.