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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+7.21vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.12+7.44vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+4.11vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+4.17vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.73+4.34vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.88+5.33vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.49+0.82vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+0.10vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.42+0.61vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.39+1.90vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.38-2.69vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.78-1.32vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.90-6.02vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-3.50vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-5.09vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.54-3.08vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.12-3.69vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.85-10.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.6%1st Place
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9.44Tufts University2.124.8%1st Place
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7.11Yale University2.928.8%1st Place
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8.17Cornell University2.387.5%1st Place
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9.34Webb Institute1.734.6%1st Place
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11.33SUNY Maritime College1.883.4%1st Place
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7.82College of Charleston2.498.3%1st Place
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8.1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.2%1st Place
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9.61University of Pennsylvania2.425.5%1st Place
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11.9Boston University1.392.6%1st Place
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8.31Bowdoin College2.387.1%1st Place
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10.68North Carolina State University1.783.0%1st Place
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6.98Dartmouth College2.909.3%1st Place
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10.5University of California at Santa Barbara1.783.6%1st Place
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9.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.165.5%1st Place
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12.92University of South Florida1.542.4%1st Place
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13.31University of Michigan1.121.9%1st Place
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7.35Brown University2.857.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Green | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Rayne Duff | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Spencer Barnes | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 13.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Adam Larson | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.1% |
| Will Murray | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.3% |
| Eden Nykamp | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 20.2% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 24.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.