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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Tufts University2.31-0.30vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University0.77+0.29vs Predicted
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4Williams College0.22-0.11vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-1.96vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University0.95-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7Tufts University2.310.6%1st Place
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3.29Wesleyan University0.770.1%1st Place
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3.89Williams College0.220.1%1st Place
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3.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
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3.08Brandeis University0.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Barclift | 56.2% | 25.0% | 13.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Justine Mitchell | 9.9% | 19.7% | 24.8% | 23.1% | 22.5% |
| Joshua Revkin | 6.2% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 21.5% | 45.5% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 13.4% | 23.6% | 23.0% | 25.1% | 14.9% |
| Davida Judelson | 14.3% | 20.6% | 23.3% | 26.4% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.