← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.90+5.95vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.85+5.33vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.12+6.61vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+3.95vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University1.78+6.06vs Predicted
-
6Webb Institute1.73+3.25vs Predicted
-
7University of Pennsylvania2.42+2.44vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+0.22vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University2.38-1.16vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College2.38-1.67vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston2.49-3.33vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-2.02vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Maritime College1.88-1.51vs Predicted
-
14Yale University2.92-6.77vs Predicted
-
15Boston University1.39-3.08vs Predicted
-
16University of South Florida1.54-3.00vs Predicted
-
17University of Michigan1.12-3.85vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-7.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.95Dartmouth College2.909.3%1st Place
-
7.33Brown University2.857.7%1st Place
-
9.61Tufts University2.124.1%1st Place
-
7.95St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.3%1st Place
-
11.06North Carolina State University1.783.9%1st Place
-
9.25Webb Institute1.735.4%1st Place
-
9.44University of Pennsylvania2.425.9%1st Place
-
8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.5%1st Place
-
7.84Cornell University2.387.0%1st Place
-
8.33Bowdoin College2.387.0%1st Place
-
7.67College of Charleston2.498.3%1st Place
-
9.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.164.0%1st Place
-
11.49SUNY Maritime College1.883.5%1st Place
-
7.23Yale University2.929.1%1st Place
-
11.92Boston University1.392.2%1st Place
-
13.0University of South Florida1.542.2%1st Place
-
13.15University of Michigan1.122.2%1st Place
-
10.59University of California at Santa Barbara1.784.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Adam Larson | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Bridget Green | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Will Murray | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Spencer Barnes | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 12.4% |
| Eden Nykamp | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 21.2% |
| Joe Serpa | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 22.7% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.