← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.38+7.37vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.92+5.37vs Predicted
-
3Boston University1.39+9.06vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.49+4.02vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+2.83vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania2.42+3.65vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.25vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+1.72vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.12+0.45vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College2.90-3.18vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Maritime College1.88+0.51vs Predicted
-
12Brown University2.85-4.66vs Predicted
-
13North Carolina State University1.78-2.24vs Predicted
-
14Webb Institute1.73-4.70vs Predicted
-
15University of South Florida1.54-2.12vs Predicted
-
16Cornell University2.38-8.07vs Predicted
-
17University of Michigan1.12-3.84vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-7.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.37Bowdoin College2.387.0%1st Place
-
7.37Yale University2.928.0%1st Place
-
12.06Boston University1.392.6%1st Place
-
8.02College of Charleston2.497.0%1st Place
-
7.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.8%1st Place
-
9.65University of Pennsylvania2.424.0%1st Place
-
8.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.4%1st Place
-
9.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.165.2%1st Place
-
9.45Tufts University2.125.2%1st Place
-
6.82Dartmouth College2.9010.5%1st Place
-
11.51SUNY Maritime College1.882.6%1st Place
-
7.34Brown University2.858.5%1st Place
-
10.76North Carolina State University1.783.9%1st Place
-
9.3Webb Institute1.734.7%1st Place
-
12.88University of South Florida1.542.4%1st Place
-
7.93Cornell University2.387.3%1st Place
-
13.16University of Michigan1.122.3%1st Place
-
10.58University of California at Santa Barbara1.784.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 13.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Will Murray | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Spencer Barnes | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 10.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Adam Larson | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% |
| Rayne Duff | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 20.8% |
| Bridget Green | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Joe Serpa | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 24.4% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.