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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.91+3.49vs Predicted
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2University of Buffalo2.44+0.15vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University1.36+0.65vs Predicted
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4Denison University-0.41+2.86vs Predicted
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6Ohio University-0.02+0.11vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo0.97-2.72vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-0.14-1.45vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester0.69-4.07vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University0.11-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Ohio State University0.910.1%1st Place
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2.15University of Buffalo2.440.4%1st Place
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3.65Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
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6.86Denison University-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.11Ohio University-0.020.0%1st Place
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4.28University of Toledo0.970.1%1st Place
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6.55Penn State University-0.140.0%1st Place
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4.93University of Rochester0.690.1%1st Place
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5.99Ohio State University0.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Gilbertson | 9.8% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Griffin Orr | 41.3% | 28.2% | 15.1% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 14.3% | 19.3% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| William Jaquinde | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 18.8% | 31.8% |
| Evan Graves | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 17.5% | 19.4% |
| Ryan Forrest | 10.3% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Jacob Snyder | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 17.0% | 20.9% | 22.7% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 9.7% | 5.1% |
| Alex Graves | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 18.2% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.