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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Buffalo2.44+1.03vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.91+2.64vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo0.97+1.37vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-0.14+2.40vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.11+0.87vs Predicted
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7Denison University-0.41-0.04vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester0.69-3.12vs Predicted
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10Ohio University-0.02-3.76vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University1.36-7.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03University of Buffalo2.440.5%1st Place
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4.64Ohio State University0.910.1%1st Place
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4.37University of Toledo0.970.1%1st Place
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6.4Penn State University-0.140.0%1st Place
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5.87Ohio State University0.110.0%1st Place
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6.96Denison University-0.410.0%1st Place
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4.88University of Rochester0.690.1%1st Place
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6.24Ohio University-0.020.0%1st Place
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3.61Michigan State University1.360.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Orr | 45.5% | 26.9% | 15.4% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 7.2% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Ryan Forrest | 10.0% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 1.6% |
| Jacob Snyder | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 19.0% | 21.8% |
| Alex Graves | 4.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 14.8% |
| William Jaquinde | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 19.9% | 33.6% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 7.9% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 3.7% |
| Evan Graves | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 18.9% | 19.9% |
| Bill Weiland | 15.6% | 17.4% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.