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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+5.63vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.91+3.16vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.29+3.93vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.03+5.57vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.38+1.90vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.43+3.74vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.22-0.39vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+0.91vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.79+0.18vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-0.99vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.71-1.96vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.19-1.00vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-3.64vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-3.75vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.07-2.06vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.76-3.08vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.05-1.63vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.12-6.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.63College of Charleston2.3810.2%1st Place
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5.16Brown University2.9113.8%1st Place
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6.93Yale University2.298.6%1st Place
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9.57Bowdoin College2.034.8%1st Place
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6.9Dartmouth College2.389.8%1st Place
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9.74Webb Institute1.434.9%1st Place
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6.61Tufts University2.228.7%1st Place
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8.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.775.8%1st Place
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9.18Cornell University1.794.8%1st Place
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9.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.935.0%1st Place
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9.04University of Pennsylvania1.714.3%1st Place
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11.0University of South Florida1.193.4%1st Place
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9.36University of California at Santa Barbara1.354.5%1st Place
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10.25St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.4%1st Place
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12.94Boston University1.072.1%1st Place
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12.92SUNY Maritime College0.761.8%1st Place
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15.37University of Michigan0.050.9%1st Place
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11.47North Carolina State University1.123.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.8% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| William Michels | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Payne Donaldson | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Sophia Devling | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Maks Groom | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Benjamin Honig | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 5.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Porter Bell | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 16.5% | 14.1% |
| John Vail | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 15.8% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 15.8% | 45.2% |
| Benjamin Usher | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.