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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Buffalo2.44+1.03vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University1.36+1.80vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.91+1.53vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo0.97+0.21vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.11+0.87vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester0.69-1.17vs Predicted
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7Ohio University-0.02-0.68vs Predicted
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8Denison University-0.41-1.04vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-0.14-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03University of Buffalo2.440.5%1st Place
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3.8Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
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4.53Ohio State University0.910.1%1st Place
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4.21University of Toledo0.970.1%1st Place
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5.87Ohio State University0.110.0%1st Place
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4.83University of Rochester0.690.1%1st Place
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6.32Ohio University-0.020.0%1st Place
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6.96Denison University-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.46Penn State University-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Orr | 46.2% | 26.2% | 13.9% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 11.7% | 17.9% | 20.5% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 8.7% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
| Ryan Forrest | 10.8% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Alex Graves | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 16.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 8.2% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Evan Graves | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 21.7% | 17.4% |
| William Jaquinde | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 14.7% | 19.0% | 34.0% |
| Jacob Snyder | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 20.9% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.