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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University1.14+1.76vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.62+1.69vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo0.87+0.14vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.66-0.61vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-1.63+2.34vs Predicted
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7Ohio University-0.54-1.36vs Predicted
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8Denison University-0.69-2.05vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester-1.09-2.35vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-0.97-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76Ohio State University1.140.3%1st Place
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3.69Ohio State University0.620.1%1st Place
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3.14University of Buffalo0.870.2%1st Place
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3.39Michigan State University0.660.2%1st Place
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7.34University of Toledo-1.630.0%1st Place
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5.64Ohio University-0.540.1%1st Place
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5.95Denison University-0.690.0%1st Place
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6.65University of Rochester-1.090.0%1st Place
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6.45Penn State University-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Copfer | 27.4% | 24.0% | 19.1% | 14.7% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Corinne Sackett | 13.2% | 18.7% | 16.6% | 19.1% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Green | 21.5% | 20.4% | 20.2% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 19.1% | 17.3% | 18.2% | 18.5% | 13.5% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Logan | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 19.2% | 42.1% |
| Connor Madden | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 14.5% | 7.7% |
| Tara Foster | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 17.8% | 19.6% | 18.2% | 9.1% |
| Michael Danta | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 23.1% | 21.5% |
| Daniel Drummond | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 19.3% | 20.3% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.