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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo-1.63+6.46vs Predicted
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2University of Buffalo0.87+1.30vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University1.14-0.25vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.62-0.50vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-0.97+1.27vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-1.09+0.60vs Predicted
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7Ohio University-0.54-1.27vs Predicted
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8Denison University-0.69-2.06vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University0.66-6.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46University of Toledo-1.630.0%1st Place
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3.3University of Buffalo0.870.2%1st Place
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2.75Ohio State University1.140.3%1st Place
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3.5Ohio State University0.620.2%1st Place
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6.27Penn State University-0.970.0%1st Place
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6.6University of Rochester-1.090.0%1st Place
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5.73Ohio University-0.540.1%1st Place
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5.94Denison University-0.690.1%1st Place
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3.46Michigan State University0.660.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Logan | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 19.5% | 43.5% |
| Andrew Green | 17.2% | 21.4% | 19.9% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Devin Copfer | 29.1% | 22.6% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Corinne Sackett | 17.6% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Daniel Drummond | 2.7% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 19.1% | 16.9% |
| Michael Danta | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 24.0% | 19.7% |
| Connor Madden | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 17.9% | 18.7% | 16.3% | 6.9% |
| Tara Foster | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 11.9% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 17.8% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 19.1% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.