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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.22+5.69vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.03+7.47vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+5.95vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.29+2.76vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.38+1.88vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.38+0.55vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.43+2.94vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.07+4.87vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.79-0.01vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-1.05vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-0.69vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.76+1.04vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.19-1.86vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.91-8.77vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.12-3.51vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-6.63vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.71-7.87vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.05-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69Tufts University2.228.8%1st Place
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9.47Bowdoin College2.035.0%1st Place
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8.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.935.2%1st Place
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6.76Yale University2.299.4%1st Place
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6.88Dartmouth College2.3810.3%1st Place
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6.55College of Charleston2.389.6%1st Place
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9.94Webb Institute1.433.6%1st Place
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12.87Boston University1.071.8%1st Place
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8.99Cornell University1.795.3%1st Place
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8.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.775.5%1st Place
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10.31St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.5%1st Place
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13.04SUNY Maritime College0.761.7%1st Place
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11.14University of South Florida1.192.8%1st Place
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5.23Brown University2.9113.8%1st Place
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11.49North Carolina State University1.122.9%1st Place
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9.37University of California at Santa Barbara1.354.7%1st Place
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9.13University of Pennsylvania1.715.2%1st Place
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15.24University of Michigan0.050.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Mueller | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Maks Groom | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Payne Donaldson | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Porter Bell | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 13.6% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| John Vail | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 15.4% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 5.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.8% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Usher | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 7.1% |
| Jasper Reid | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Benjamin Honig | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 14.4% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.