Race 1A

central-series-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Martin McDonald 6.4% 6.3% 6.7% 9.6% 9.1% 7.8% 9.9% 8.6% 8.7% 9.8% 8.1% 5.8% 3.2%
Solomon Krevans 5.0% 5.4% 6.2% 6.5% 8.3% 7.2% 8.0% 9.9% 9.6% 10.2% 9.6% 8.2% 5.9%
Peter Pellegrini 27.2% 20.5% 17.5% 12.9% 8.5% 5.0% 4.6% 2.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Samuel Cushing 7.0% 10.3% 9.2% 11.3% 9.5% 9.7% 9.5% 7.6% 8.6% 6.9% 5.8% 3.2% 1.4%
Brian Gracey 3.7% 4.1% 3.3% 4.4% 5.9% 6.3% 5.4% 8.9% 8.3% 8.6% 11.8% 14.1% 15.2%
Willem Sandberg 18.6% 17.5% 17.9% 12.4% 9.2% 8.3% 5.7% 4.5% 2.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Vincent Marchetto 7.0% 6.1% 9.0% 7.3% 8.4% 8.2% 8.7% 10.4% 8.4% 7.7% 8.9% 6.6% 3.3%
Sarah Fiske 5.4% 7.3% 7.1% 7.6% 8.3% 10.4% 9.5% 8.7% 9.9% 8.7% 7.3% 6.5% 3.3%
Tevis Nichols 6.0% 5.3% 6.1% 6.5% 7.9% 9.1% 8.4% 9.7% 9.9% 8.9% 8.2% 7.7% 6.3%
Alejandro Bancalari 4.7% 6.0% 5.0% 6.2% 7.1% 8.6% 8.0% 9.0% 8.2% 9.8% 8.6% 9.8% 9.0%
Bradley Abbott 4.9% 6.1% 6.5% 8.4% 8.9% 9.2% 9.0% 8.9% 9.3% 8.3% 8.7% 6.4% 5.4%
Ansel Duff 1.8% 2.8% 2.8% 3.8% 5.1% 4.8% 7.1% 5.8% 7.4% 9.3% 10.9% 16.1% 22.3%
Zachary Drach 2.3% 2.3% 2.7% 3.1% 3.8% 5.4% 6.2% 5.6% 8.3% 9.1% 11.2% 15.5% 24.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.