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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+7.20vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.99+4.48vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+7.27vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.55+0.18vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.14+3.28vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.97+0.76vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.09-1.27vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.45+0.28vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.22+0.54vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.51-1.56vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-4.76vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.48-0.95vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.99-3.59vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.15-1.60vs Predicted
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15McGill University-0.11-1.82vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.54-5.39vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College-0.13-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.2Harvard University2.105.5%1st Place
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6.48Brown University1.999.1%1st Place
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10.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.0%1st Place
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4.18Yale University2.5520.8%1st Place
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8.28Boston University1.145.7%1st Place
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6.76Roger Williams University1.977.5%1st Place
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5.73Boston College2.0910.8%1st Place
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8.28Dartmouth College1.455.2%1st Place
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9.54Northeastern University1.223.6%1st Place
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8.44Bowdoin College1.515.6%1st Place
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6.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.779.2%1st Place
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11.05University of Vermont0.482.5%1st Place
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9.41University of Rhode Island0.994.0%1st Place
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12.4Maine Maritime Academy0.152.1%1st Place
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13.18McGill University-0.111.3%1st Place
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10.61Tufts University0.542.8%1st Place
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13.95Connecticut College-0.131.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Emma Cowles | 20.8% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 7.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Jane Marvin | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 13.4% |
| ZIYUE ZHOU | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 25.2% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 4.9% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 17.0% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.