Race 3 - nwicsa-coed-quals | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%

Within 2 Positions

1.5

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Ezra Boyer & Katie Schmidt

University of Washington

0.42

+2.34

vs Predicted
2

Colin Thompson & Annin Ramsing

University of Puget Sound

1.30

+0.62

vs Predicted
3

Craig Emmes & Sophie Thomas

University of Oregon

1.84

-0.88

vs Predicted
4

Bryan Rust & Mallory Abston

Western Washington University

2.02

-2.08

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

3.34

Ezra Boyer & Katie Schmidt

University of Washington

0.42

0.1%

1st Place
2.62

Colin Thompson & Annin Ramsing

University of Puget Sound

1.30

0.2%

1st Place
2.12

Craig Emmes & Sophie Thomas

University of Oregon

1.84

0.3%

1st Place
1.92

Bryan Rust & Mallory Abston

Western Washington University

2.02

0.4%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Ezra Boyer	7.8%	12.2%	18.3%	61.7%
Colin Thompson	18.1%	22.9%	37.5%	21.5%
Craig Emmes	32.7%	33.0%	24.4%	9.9%
Bryan Rust	41.4%	31.9%	19.8%	6.9%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.