Race 2A

central-series-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Peter Pellegrini 27.9% 21.1% 19.0% 9.7% 9.8% 5.2% 3.6% 1.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Alejandro Bancalari 4.5% 4.6% 6.2% 5.3% 6.7% 8.5% 8.6% 7.9% 8.9% 12.1% 8.9% 9.8% 8.0%
Tevis Nichols 4.5% 5.6% 6.6% 8.0% 7.8% 8.6% 9.3% 9.1% 11.5% 8.3% 8.8% 6.5% 5.4%
Samuel Cushing 8.1% 9.5% 8.2% 10.9% 11.5% 10.5% 8.4% 8.1% 6.4% 8.6% 4.6% 3.3% 1.9%
Sarah Fiske 6.8% 7.2% 7.0% 9.1% 8.2% 8.5% 8.8% 9.7% 10.0% 6.7% 8.5% 6.2% 3.3%
Brian Gracey 2.4% 4.4% 3.9% 4.4% 4.7% 8.0% 6.0% 6.1% 10.1% 8.2% 10.9% 15.2% 15.7%
Willem Sandberg 19.4% 17.7% 14.0% 14.7% 10.2% 7.5% 6.4% 4.8% 3.3% 1.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Ansel Duff 2.9% 3.1% 3.1% 3.8% 4.9% 4.5% 6.0% 7.1% 7.8% 9.9% 11.1% 14.2% 21.6%
Vincent Marchetto 5.9% 6.7% 6.4% 8.1% 8.6% 9.0% 9.6% 9.0% 8.4% 8.0% 8.6% 7.1% 4.6%
Zachary Drach 3.2% 3.0% 2.8% 3.5% 3.5% 6.2% 5.7% 5.7% 8.1% 9.0% 10.9% 13.9% 24.5%
Solomon Krevans 5.3% 5.4% 7.1% 7.5% 8.6% 7.3% 10.6% 9.0% 8.6% 8.5% 9.8% 7.8% 4.5%
Bradley Abbott 4.4% 5.7% 6.5% 6.5% 8.8% 7.2% 7.1% 10.1% 9.5% 9.3% 9.5% 8.4% 7.0%
Martin McDonald 4.7% 6.0% 9.2% 8.5% 6.7% 9.0% 9.9% 11.7% 6.2% 9.9% 7.3% 7.4% 3.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.