Race 3A

central-series-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Peter Pellegrini 27.2% 22.0% 16.8% 12.3% 8.7% 5.8% 3.4% 1.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ansel Duff 2.4% 3.6% 3.0% 4.5% 3.9% 5.3% 5.1% 6.2% 9.2% 9.7% 11.8% 14.5% 20.8%
Zachary Drach 2.4% 1.8% 2.2% 3.9% 5.4% 4.9% 6.8% 6.5% 6.2% 8.8% 12.3% 15.9% 22.9%
Solomon Krevans 4.2% 5.2% 7.3% 7.7% 7.3% 7.7% 8.7% 10.5% 8.2% 9.0% 9.2% 9.5% 5.5%
Bradley Abbott 5.8% 5.5% 6.2% 7.7% 7.8% 8.9% 8.8% 8.5% 9.9% 10.1% 7.6% 7.2% 6.0%
Willem Sandberg 18.4% 19.1% 15.8% 12.9% 9.2% 8.3% 6.6% 4.0% 2.9% 1.6% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Vincent Marchetto 6.5% 7.6% 8.4% 6.0% 8.5% 10.3% 7.6% 10.5% 7.6% 9.2% 7.8% 7.3% 2.7%
Sarah Fiske 6.2% 6.4% 6.8% 7.9% 10.0% 8.9% 8.6% 9.5% 9.3% 9.7% 7.0% 5.8% 3.9%
Brian Gracey 3.0% 4.4% 3.3% 4.5% 3.0% 5.5% 7.1% 7.6% 8.7% 9.4% 11.6% 12.4% 19.5%
Samuel Cushing 9.0% 8.9% 9.5% 9.8% 10.7% 10.2% 8.9% 8.4% 8.7% 5.8% 4.2% 4.0% 1.9%
Tevis Nichols 5.1% 6.1% 6.7% 8.7% 8.9% 9.1% 10.9% 8.5% 8.7% 7.6% 9.0% 6.1% 4.6%
Martin McDonald 6.0% 6.1% 7.7% 8.6% 7.8% 8.4% 9.7% 8.6% 9.8% 9.1% 8.0% 6.3% 3.9%
Alejandro Bancalari 3.8% 3.3% 6.3% 5.5% 8.8% 6.7% 7.8% 9.3% 9.4% 9.8% 10.4% 10.6% 8.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.