Race 4A

central-series-3

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Vincent Marchetto 5.6% 6.0% 6.7% 9.8% 8.1% 8.5% 9.6% 10.3% 8.5% 8.2% 9.0% 5.5% 4.2%
Peter Pellegrini 27.3% 24.3% 16.6% 10.8% 8.3% 5.7% 3.0% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Samuel Cushing 7.0% 8.9% 10.2% 9.9% 9.9% 10.5% 10.4% 9.3% 7.8% 6.2% 4.4% 3.8% 1.7%
Solomon Krevans 4.3% 5.6% 7.3% 5.5% 8.1% 8.9% 8.5% 8.1% 10.2% 8.7% 8.9% 10.4% 5.5%
Tevis Nichols 6.1% 5.3% 7.1% 8.4% 8.0% 8.4% 8.6% 7.9% 11.1% 7.9% 8.2% 7.5% 5.5%
Zachary Drach 2.7% 3.1% 2.4% 4.7% 3.9% 5.0% 6.3% 6.5% 6.1% 10.0% 13.0% 13.8% 22.5%
Ansel Duff 3.9% 3.1% 3.3% 5.3% 3.6% 4.9% 5.2% 6.4% 7.5% 9.5% 11.4% 15.2% 20.7%
Bradley Abbott 5.0% 5.8% 6.0% 6.6% 7.8% 8.4% 8.2% 10.1% 10.5% 11.2% 7.3% 6.7% 6.4%
Brian Gracey 3.1% 4.1% 3.4% 4.3% 4.1% 6.1% 6.2% 8.0% 7.3% 9.5% 11.8% 14.0% 18.1%
Sarah Fiske 7.2% 5.9% 6.3% 7.9% 11.0% 9.7% 8.4% 8.1% 8.3% 8.1% 8.1% 6.6% 4.4%
Alejandro Bancalari 4.5% 4.1% 7.5% 6.4% 7.2% 8.1% 8.9% 10.2% 9.1% 9.6% 8.4% 8.9% 7.1%
Martin McDonald 4.7% 7.9% 6.5% 8.7% 8.5% 7.4% 8.8% 9.1% 9.7% 9.5% 8.7% 6.7% 3.8%
Willem Sandberg 18.6% 15.9% 16.7% 11.7% 11.5% 8.4% 7.9% 4.1% 2.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.