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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.03+8.54vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.91+3.29vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.29+4.21vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.76+9.22vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.22+1.70vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+3.11vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+3.50vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.38-0.87vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.16-1.26vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.43+0.02vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.79-1.78vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-2.79vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.07+0.21vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-4.29vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan0.50-1.86vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.12-4.26vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.38-10.17vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.19-6.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.54Bowdoin College2.034.5%1st Place
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5.29Brown University2.9114.2%1st Place
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7.21Yale University2.298.5%1st Place
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13.22SUNY Maritime College0.761.5%1st Place
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6.7Tufts University2.229.4%1st Place
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9.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.935.0%1st Place
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10.5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.8%1st Place
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7.13Dartmouth College2.389.9%1st Place
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7.74University of Pennsylvania2.166.7%1st Place
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10.02Webb Institute1.434.3%1st Place
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9.22Cornell University1.795.7%1st Place
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9.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.774.5%1st Place
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13.21Boston University1.071.6%1st Place
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9.71University of California at Santa Barbara1.354.3%1st Place
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13.14University of Michigan0.502.1%1st Place
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11.74North Carolina State University1.122.2%1st Place
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6.83College of Charleston2.388.2%1st Place
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11.46University of South Florida1.193.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 14.2% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| John Vail | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 20.8% |
| Ben Mueller | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% |
| William Michels | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jackson McAliley | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Payne Donaldson | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Porter Bell | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 19.1% |
| Jasper Reid | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Brody Schwartz | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 20.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.2% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.