Race 7A

central-series-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Tevis Nichols 5.8% 4.8% 5.6% 9.7% 8.7% 7.0% 9.3% 8.5% 10.6% 8.6% 9.4% 6.7% 5.3%
Samuel Cushing 7.6% 8.5% 9.4% 10.1% 11.7% 9.2% 9.7% 9.1% 6.9% 7.5% 5.0% 4.0% 1.3%
Peter Pellegrini 28.0% 20.4% 16.3% 12.1% 8.8% 6.5% 3.6% 2.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Willem Sandberg 17.7% 17.1% 18.6% 11.3% 10.1% 7.9% 7.4% 5.0% 2.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.2%
Sarah Fiske 6.3% 7.5% 7.8% 8.7% 7.7% 9.3% 9.1% 7.9% 9.0% 10.4% 6.8% 6.0% 3.5%
Martin McDonald 6.3% 6.7% 5.9% 9.3% 9.8% 10.2% 8.6% 9.9% 8.5% 7.9% 7.0% 6.5% 3.4%
Solomon Krevans 6.1% 6.0% 6.6% 6.7% 7.2% 7.6% 8.6% 9.0% 9.6% 9.0% 9.0% 8.8% 5.8%
Alejandro Bancalari 3.6% 6.4% 5.2% 6.2% 7.1% 7.5% 7.8% 10.1% 9.1% 10.9% 9.3% 10.1% 6.7%
Zachary Drach 2.4% 3.6% 3.1% 3.4% 3.5% 4.9% 5.6% 6.1% 7.7% 8.4% 11.6% 15.5% 24.2%
Ansel Duff 3.6% 2.5% 3.3% 4.5% 4.3% 6.1% 5.6% 5.9% 8.8% 8.1% 11.8% 13.2% 22.3%
Vincent Marchetto 5.8% 7.6% 8.6% 7.7% 9.4% 10.3% 7.8% 10.6% 8.2% 8.4% 6.6% 5.4% 3.6%
Bradley Abbott 4.3% 5.7% 6.2% 6.4% 7.8% 8.4% 8.2% 8.0% 10.0% 10.0% 9.7% 9.0% 6.3%
Brian Gracey 2.5% 3.2% 3.4% 3.9% 3.9% 5.1% 8.7% 7.2% 8.0% 9.0% 13.3% 14.5% 17.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.