Race 8A

central-series-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Bradley Abbott 5.4% 4.3% 6.5% 7.4% 9.0% 8.8% 8.1% 8.5% 8.9% 10.4% 9.9% 7.4% 5.4%
Samuel Cushing 7.3% 9.1% 8.6% 10.9% 11.0% 10.4% 8.4% 9.7% 7.3% 7.6% 4.7% 3.8% 1.2%
Peter Pellegrini 27.0% 21.9% 15.5% 13.0% 9.0% 5.5% 3.9% 2.4% 1.5% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Tevis Nichols 3.9% 6.3% 8.7% 7.3% 8.1% 7.9% 8.3% 8.6% 9.6% 8.6% 9.7% 7.9% 5.1%
Zachary Drach 3.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.5% 3.8% 6.7% 4.2% 6.0% 7.6% 10.0% 10.9% 14.6% 22.9%
Willem Sandberg 19.4% 17.9% 15.9% 13.2% 9.3% 8.2% 6.0% 4.8% 2.3% 1.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Sarah Fiske 7.3% 6.0% 8.9% 8.0% 8.0% 7.5% 10.0% 10.2% 8.1% 7.7% 7.9% 6.9% 3.5%
Martin McDonald 5.7% 7.7% 6.6% 8.1% 8.4% 9.5% 10.7% 8.8% 9.8% 7.9% 6.9% 6.6% 3.3%
Solomon Krevans 5.5% 4.8% 5.7% 5.8% 7.9% 8.0% 9.7% 9.7% 9.7% 8.9% 8.7% 8.5% 7.1%
Brian Gracey 3.3% 4.2% 3.9% 4.4% 5.0% 5.8% 7.5% 7.1% 7.4% 9.5% 11.0% 13.7% 17.2%
Alejandro Bancalari 4.3% 4.9% 6.5% 6.6% 7.1% 8.6% 10.4% 8.2% 9.6% 8.9% 8.9% 8.8% 7.2%
Vincent Marchetto 5.4% 7.3% 6.8% 8.3% 8.9% 8.2% 7.4% 8.9% 9.6% 9.4% 9.2% 5.9% 4.7%
Ansel Duff 2.5% 2.1% 3.1% 3.5% 4.5% 4.9% 5.4% 7.1% 8.6% 9.8% 10.8% 15.5% 22.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.