Race 9A

central-series-3

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Willem Sandberg 18.5% 17.4% 15.2% 12.6% 12.4% 8.0% 5.9% 4.8% 2.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Vincent Marchetto 5.3% 6.8% 7.6% 7.1% 9.1% 11.3% 7.7% 9.0% 9.4% 9.1% 7.5% 6.1% 4.0%
Sarah Fiske 5.0% 5.6% 9.1% 8.7% 8.1% 8.4% 8.0% 10.9% 9.6% 9.1% 7.4% 6.8% 3.3%
Tevis Nichols 4.7% 6.4% 6.6% 7.9% 9.2% 6.8% 8.6% 9.5% 9.0% 7.6% 11.4% 6.8% 5.5%
Martin McDonald 6.9% 6.9% 7.5% 8.7% 9.4% 8.0% 10.5% 7.9% 9.0% 9.2% 6.9% 6.8% 2.3%
Peter Pellegrini 27.4% 24.1% 14.9% 11.6% 7.8% 6.5% 3.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Solomon Krevans 6.1% 5.2% 7.0% 7.2% 7.3% 7.7% 8.0% 9.0% 9.2% 9.9% 9.1% 9.1% 5.2%
Samuel Cushing 8.3% 8.4% 8.9% 11.2% 9.8% 11.4% 10.2% 8.2% 8.2% 6.2% 4.2% 3.9% 1.1%
Bradley Abbott 5.2% 5.6% 5.7% 7.2% 7.4% 7.7% 9.4% 10.3% 8.0% 9.4% 8.9% 7.6% 7.6%
Zachary Drach 2.9% 3.6% 2.8% 3.6% 3.6% 5.0% 6.7% 6.3% 8.1% 7.7% 12.9% 13.7% 23.1%
Alejandro Bancalari 4.1% 5.2% 7.1% 6.8% 6.7% 7.7% 10.3% 8.0% 9.1% 10.9% 8.8% 9.4% 5.9%
Ansel Duff 2.4% 2.6% 3.7% 3.4% 4.0% 5.3% 5.5% 6.2% 8.3% 8.4% 11.5% 16.1% 22.6%
Brian Gracey 3.2% 2.2% 3.9% 4.0% 5.2% 6.2% 5.6% 7.6% 8.5% 10.8% 10.2% 13.2% 19.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.