Race 10A

central-series-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Willem Sandberg 18.4% 17.9% 15.4% 12.2% 11.3% 7.9% 6.8% 5.5% 2.1% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Martin McDonald 5.4% 6.3% 8.1% 7.9% 9.6% 8.6% 9.3% 9.0% 10.6% 8.6% 7.1% 6.2% 3.3%
Peter Pellegrini 27.4% 21.1% 16.4% 13.8% 6.9% 5.6% 4.7% 2.4% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sarah Fiske 5.3% 7.5% 7.7% 8.3% 8.2% 7.2% 9.6% 10.3% 7.8% 8.6% 9.2% 6.2% 4.1%
Solomon Krevans 5.4% 5.3% 6.1% 7.6% 7.7% 8.0% 8.6% 8.9% 9.4% 10.3% 8.6% 8.7% 5.4%
Samuel Cushing 8.9% 9.0% 8.4% 11.1% 11.6% 9.9% 7.4% 8.8% 7.8% 6.0% 5.9% 3.5% 1.7%
Tevis Nichols 6.4% 6.0% 7.6% 7.3% 7.4% 7.9% 9.0% 9.0% 10.1% 8.4% 8.5% 7.7% 4.7%
Alejandro Bancalari 3.5% 6.3% 5.2% 6.6% 6.9% 7.6% 8.6% 9.5% 9.5% 9.8% 10.3% 9.0% 7.2%
Bradley Abbott 5.4% 4.9% 6.2% 7.6% 6.4% 9.1% 8.6% 8.8% 10.3% 8.9% 8.6% 8.3% 6.9%
Ansel Duff 3.5% 3.1% 2.2% 4.2% 4.8% 6.4% 5.9% 6.0% 7.7% 9.3% 11.1% 15.3% 20.5%
Vincent Marchetto 5.5% 7.4% 9.0% 7.9% 9.2% 10.5% 8.6% 9.5% 7.5% 9.0% 7.7% 4.6% 3.6%
Zachary Drach 1.9% 2.9% 3.2% 2.6% 5.0% 5.0% 5.8% 6.3% 6.7% 9.3% 10.7% 16.0% 24.6%
Brian Gracey 3.0% 2.3% 4.5% 2.9% 5.0% 6.3% 7.1% 6.0% 9.5% 9.8% 11.5% 14.1% 18.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.