Race 1B

central-series-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Dan Nickerson 15.3% 14.0% 15.3% 17.2% 12.4% 10.4% 7.2% 4.7% 2.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.1%
Colin MURPHY 16.3% 17.8% 13.3% 16.3% 11.5% 9.5% 7.4% 4.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Goodrich 9.1% 6.8% 9.0% 10.4% 11.7% 13.5% 14.1% 10.9% 8.8% 3.6% 1.7% 0.4%
Alex Davis 1.7% 2.7% 3.2% 3.7% 5.4% 8.1% 8.2% 14.6% 15.4% 15.4% 13.7% 7.9%
Kyle Carney 15.4% 15.5% 17.0% 12.9% 13.0% 8.7% 8.8% 4.2% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Duncan Swain 19.9% 19.7% 17.1% 13.0% 12.1% 8.3% 5.3% 3.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Bradley Brown 8.1% 8.5% 9.0% 9.9% 10.8% 12.5% 13.7% 11.7% 8.1% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9%
Conor Fowler 8.1% 8.2% 7.7% 9.3% 10.9% 13.6% 12.9% 11.6% 9.0% 5.4% 2.5% 0.8%
Omar Abudayyeh 1.2% 0.7% 1.4% 1.1% 2.7% 2.3% 3.7% 7.0% 9.8% 15.7% 22.4% 32.0%
Benjamin Mende 1.6% 2.0% 2.8% 3.4% 2.9% 3.8% 7.2% 9.0% 13.4% 18.5% 20.1% 15.3%
Matthew Vernacchia 1.4% 1.6% 1.0% 0.9% 3.5% 3.7% 3.9% 7.5% 10.5% 16.2% 20.0% 29.8%
Michael Lukas 1.9% 2.5% 3.2% 1.9% 3.1% 5.6% 7.6% 11.0% 15.2% 18.2% 17.0% 12.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.