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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+3.36vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.09+3.82vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.99+3.55vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.97+2.68vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.45+3.23vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.51+2.24vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-0.79vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.54+2.43vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.11+4.27vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+0.26vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.10-2.97vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.14-3.52vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-1.91vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.99-4.25vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.13-1.11vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.15-3.57vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.22-7.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36Yale University2.5516.4%1st Place
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5.82Boston College2.0911.8%1st Place
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6.55Brown University1.999.1%1st Place
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6.68Roger Williams University1.978.5%1st Place
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8.23Dartmouth College1.455.7%1st Place
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8.24Bowdoin College1.515.9%1st Place
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6.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7710.2%1st Place
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10.43Tufts University0.542.7%1st Place
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13.27McGill University-0.111.2%1st Place
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10.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.7%1st Place
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8.03Harvard University2.105.9%1st Place
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8.48Boston University1.145.5%1st Place
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11.09University of Vermont0.482.5%1st Place
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9.75University of Rhode Island0.994.2%1st Place
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13.89Connecticut College-0.131.4%1st Place
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12.43Maine Maritime Academy0.151.9%1st Place
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9.27Northeastern University1.224.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 16.4% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Drulard | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 4.5% |
| ZIYUE ZHOU | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 26.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 2.4% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 17.4% | 33.9% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 14.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.