Race 2B

central-series-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Scott Goodrich 7.6% 7.8% 8.9% 10.1% 10.0% 14.9% 13.9% 11.9% 8.8% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6%
Benjamin Mende 1.6% 2.1% 1.7% 2.7% 3.3% 4.7% 7.8% 10.2% 12.8% 16.3% 19.8% 17.0%
Duncan Swain 21.4% 17.5% 16.2% 13.3% 13.7% 8.4% 5.5% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kyle Carney 13.7% 17.7% 14.9% 13.6% 13.0% 12.7% 5.3% 5.4% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Dan Nickerson 16.7% 17.1% 14.7% 13.3% 11.4% 10.5% 8.0% 5.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Michael Lukas 2.2% 1.6% 2.9% 4.3% 3.1% 5.9% 6.9% 9.7% 15.4% 18.4% 17.9% 11.7%
Colin MURPHY 17.5% 18.0% 14.4% 13.9% 12.7% 7.8% 8.8% 3.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Conor Fowler 8.2% 6.9% 8.8% 9.7% 9.6% 12.6% 13.3% 12.2% 9.9% 5.9% 2.1% 0.8%
Bradley Brown 6.4% 7.2% 10.7% 10.6% 13.1% 11.9% 14.3% 11.4% 8.3% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3%
Omar Abudayyeh 0.7% 1.1% 2.3% 1.9% 2.3% 2.5% 3.0% 7.8% 8.3% 16.4% 19.8% 33.9%
Alex Davis 2.8% 1.6% 3.1% 4.4% 4.5% 5.5% 9.3% 12.2% 17.1% 16.0% 14.8% 8.7%
Matthew Vernacchia 1.2% 1.4% 1.4% 2.2% 3.3% 2.6% 3.9% 7.0% 12.1% 16.3% 21.8% 26.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.