Race 4B

central-series-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Duncan Swain 20.7% 17.4% 16.0% 14.9% 13.6% 7.3% 4.8% 3.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Davis 1.9% 2.8% 3.0% 3.8% 5.5% 6.9% 8.3% 11.0% 13.1% 17.3% 16.5% 9.9%
Colin MURPHY 17.0% 15.6% 15.1% 13.5% 12.7% 10.8% 8.1% 4.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Kyle Carney 14.6% 16.0% 16.7% 13.2% 12.3% 11.4% 6.1% 4.9% 3.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Dan Nickerson 15.7% 17.0% 15.8% 13.8% 11.0% 10.9% 6.3% 5.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Conor Fowler 7.2% 7.3% 7.4% 9.1% 10.3% 13.4% 12.8% 12.3% 9.8% 7.0% 2.6% 0.8%
Scott Goodrich 8.4% 8.4% 10.2% 10.3% 11.5% 11.0% 12.3% 11.1% 8.2% 5.4% 2.5% 0.7%
Michael Lukas 1.6% 2.5% 3.0% 3.7% 4.6% 4.5% 8.0% 9.4% 14.0% 14.9% 17.1% 16.7%
William Thalheimer 1.8% 1.8% 1.7% 2.8% 4.3% 5.4% 8.8% 10.8% 13.9% 16.3% 16.9% 15.5%
Bradley Brown 8.2% 7.6% 8.2% 10.4% 9.8% 11.3% 14.2% 12.0% 8.8% 6.6% 2.2% 0.7%
Matthew Vernacchia 1.5% 1.6% 0.8% 1.3% 2.4% 3.6% 4.5% 6.6% 9.0% 13.5% 21.5% 33.7%
Benjamin Mende 1.4% 2.0% 2.1% 3.2% 2.0% 3.5% 5.8% 9.2% 13.2% 15.5% 20.1% 22.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.