Race 5B

central-series-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Dan Nickerson 15.8% 13.5% 16.3% 14.9% 14.3% 9.0% 8.0% 4.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Duncan Swain 20.2% 20.3% 15.5% 14.3% 10.6% 8.9% 5.2% 3.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin MURPHY 16.9% 15.4% 16.1% 12.5% 13.7% 11.4% 7.6% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Scott Goodrich 6.6% 8.1% 10.0% 9.7% 12.6% 12.6% 11.9% 10.9% 10.2% 5.0% 1.6% 0.8%
Conor Fowler 7.1% 7.1% 6.9% 12.5% 10.2% 11.8% 11.6% 12.7% 8.9% 6.8% 3.6% 0.8%
Bradley Brown 7.5% 7.9% 8.6% 8.3% 11.1% 11.6% 13.3% 12.8% 9.6% 4.3% 4.6% 0.4%
Alex Davis 2.7% 3.8% 3.2% 3.6% 4.1% 8.1% 7.9% 10.9% 15.2% 15.0% 13.7% 11.8%
Kyle Carney 16.8% 16.9% 13.1% 13.3% 11.8% 9.5% 8.5% 5.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
William Thalheimer 2.0% 1.5% 2.8% 3.0% 2.9% 5.4% 8.9% 11.5% 12.1% 18.2% 17.4% 14.3%
Benjamin Mende 1.7% 1.9% 3.3% 2.8% 2.8% 3.5% 6.4% 8.5% 13.4% 14.8% 21.0% 19.9%
Michael Lukas 2.0% 1.8% 1.7% 3.3% 3.9% 4.9% 8.1% 8.7% 12.8% 17.2% 17.4% 18.2%
Matthew Vernacchia 0.7% 1.8% 2.5% 1.8% 2.0% 3.3% 2.6% 6.1% 9.7% 16.2% 19.6% 33.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.